You know how most bettors struggle to profit or generate a second income in the long run because they do not have the knowledge or time to cap games? What I do is consolidate all my NFL knowledge and analytics into write-ups, information and picks to help people make better decisions and win more money in the long run. It’s all about pricing teams accurately, making plus expected value (+EV) bets and beating the closing line. Since starting this website, my members and I have beaten the closing line 70.6% of the time. We generated closing line values of 3.4% in 2017 and 4.6% in 2018. My z-score over the past two years was 2.07, adjusted for unit size and juice it was 1.84. Since 2014, the z-score is ~ 3.58.
Because I put in the work. I only bet NFL (by now) and breathe this league 365 days of the year. There are always going to be people who:
- are much more skilled at modeling
- are better at math
- watch more tape.
But I assume there are only a handful of people who could out-prepare and out-work me when it comes to NFL betting. I build models, handicap games, study the market, follow all the news AND grind lines at the same time.
The Membership will blow you away. You will get quality off-season content like in-depth previews of all 32 NFL teams, weekly analysis on all 267 regular season games in form of write-ups and of course all my picks. You can also be part of the community by participating in the members forum. All picks will get sent out via email. Additionally, members can choose between some notification options like Facebook or browser push.
What a pity! You lose a lot of value. Unfortunately, getting picks only is not possible. You can only get the full package.
There are going to be 5-6 bigger write-ups each week for the games I am most interested in or which are going to be official picks. For all the remaining games I will do a rundown with quick analyses and leans.
Pretty simple – if you tail all my picks blindly you can lose money. Many services in this industry don’t use the word “losing”, but this is part of what we do. There are no guarantees when it comes to sports betting. Even the best bettors in the world can have losing stretches or losing seasons. However, there is one thing I can guarantee you: I put in the work which is the base for long-term success. From week one to the Super Bowl, my life is dedicated to my members to produce the best possible content and results. I care about making +EV bets and beating the closing line. This will always lead to long-term success.
All picks will get released via email. Additionally, members can set options to other notifications like Facebook messenger or browser notification (if applicable). Picks get sent out from Monday to Saturday between 8 AM ET (New York time) and 6 PM ET. On Sundays it’s between 8 AM and 10 AM. Therefore, most of the members have a fair shot at getting the lines I release. All picks will be posted three hours prior to game time on Sunday. Write-ups will get released throughout the week. My goal is to upload them by Friday morning at the latest.